2011 TigsTown Player Capsule: Max Scherzer
Scherzer's ERA was a career worst in 2011
Scherzer's ERA was a career worst in 2011
Executive Editor
Posted Dec 31, 2011
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Some were pointing at 2011 as a big year for Max Scherzer, hoping that the then 26-year old would take the next step forward in his development. While Scherzer set a career high in wins, his ERA jumped into the mid-4's and came well short on those expectations of taking a leap forward.

Max Scherzer

Five Numbers That Sum Up The Season

ERA+

K:BB

OPS Against

xFIP

HR/FB

92

3.11

.781

3.70

12.6%


What It All Means

It wasn’t the best year from Scherzer, as his ERA remained in the mid-4’s for much of the season, despite posting a career high 15 wins. His ERA was actually below average with an ERA+ of 92, and he continued his month-to-month inconsistencies that have plagued him for much of his career, though he had only one month this season in which his ERA eclipsed 5. His high OPS against was also a concern at .781, the highest of his career. However, part of that can be explained by his .316 BAbip against and a HR/FB ratio of 12.6%, above both the league average and his career norms. With an xFIP of 3.70, there’s a reasonable argument to be made that Scherzer actually pitched better than the mediocre ERA showed.

What Does the Future Hold

The organization was hoping Scherzer would take a leap forward after a promising 2010 season, and while he did that in some areas, he wasn’t nearly as effective as the club was hoping he would be. However, given the relatively high home run and ball in play rates, as well as his improved K:BB ratio, there are still reasons for optimism for 2012. That being said, Scherzer is likely in his role as a number three big league starter, and probably won’t move much ahead of that.

Contract Status

Max Scherzer made $600,000 in 2011 and will be looking for a raise through arbitration in 2012. There has been some mention about pursuing a contract extension with Scherzer, however as of right now, that does not appear to be in the plans for this next season at least.

All statistics are provided by Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs.com, with all contract information thanks to Cot’s Contracts.


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